The weather over the past 24 hours has been quite interesting to observe.
In every winter weather event, there is always a line where you go from nothing to something. More often than not it is based on temperature being cold enough for those with snow to too warm for those that miss out.
Last night, we were all plenty cold. It had to do with the location of the precipitation. For several hours, snow fell and did not make it to the ground.
Then a heavier pocket within this area overcame the dry air and dumped snow for about an hour over the central and northern Triad.
Similar to a heavy rain shower in the spring or summer producing locally heavy rain and leaving folks dry a few miles away. This put down a quick 1 to 2 inches of snow for those that were hit.
By the time the next round of moisture came in from the NW, a dry layer had taken over and cut down on the precipitation available.
Now that moisture is starting to return again, the layer above 5000 feet it too warm for snow. It is also too thick for sleet. Rain is now falling to the ground and freezing on contact, freezing rain and freezing drizzle.
Fortunately this is light and patchy. Overnight temperatures will actually rise. Most of the Triad should be back to above freezing by midnight (earlier south and east).
It will be after this time when heavier rainfall arrives. Areas north and west of the Triad will take the longest to climb above freezing and will therefore see the most freezing rain.
I expect near 1/10″ on average in the Triad and between 1/10 to less than 1/4″ northwest of the Triad (W Rockingham, Stokes, Surry, Patrick, possibly Yadkin and Wilkes). By daybreak temperatures should be above freezing for all areas, even the N & W.
Rain is likely to end by mid-morning Tuesday and then could return Tuesday night. Highs in the mid 40s and lows back to the mid 30s Tuesday night.
Wednesday will become partly sunny with highs in the lower 50s. Thursday and Friday mostly sunny with highs 50 to 53. Lows near 30.
Over the weekend, partly cloudy and mild. Highs in the mid 60s.