There are still two different areas of concern and one is looking just as bad as before. The other is looking better.
The first is the coastal low and front near the coast. This combined with the upper low over the southeastern U.S. will help produce flooding rainfall across North Carolina.
The rain will pick up tonight and fall heavily at times late Friday into Saturday. The heaviest rain is expected to fall tonight from midnight until dawn on Saturday.
Areas to the north and east may see a break in the rain on Saturday while the focus shifts more to the south and east.
Rainfall of 4 to 6 inches is expected from this part of the storm. Temperatures will remain cool with highs only in the 50s on Friday and 60s on Saturday. Lows only a few degrees lower than the highs with little change from day to night.
The second concern is Hurricane Joaquin. The latest tracks take this farther east and that is good for us. Little if any rain is expected from that system.
This track also helps our coast. Still the upper low will linger over the area and showers will continue into Monday. Some of these could still produce locally heavy rainfall.
By Saturday night, the best chance for heavy rain should shift to our south and west.